Media Ignores What is Likely Driving Minnesota’s Abortion Decline


Last week, the Associated Press reported that the number of abortions performed in Minnesota declined by about 3 percent in 2012. The reaction was pretty predictable. A spokesman for Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life said that young people are more pro-life because they have a better understanding of fetal development and fetal pain. A representative of Planned Parenthood said that better access to birth control was responsible for Minnesota’s abortion decline.

Screen shot 2013-07-09 at 11.32.39 AMWhile it is heartening to see the Associated Press grant some coverage to abortion trends, they once again missed the big picture. A three percent year –over-year decline in the number of abortions performed is not especially newsworthy.

However, what is newsworthy is the fact that according to the Minnesota Department of Health, the number of abortions performed in Minnesota has declined each of the past 6 years. Furthermore, the number of abortions performed in Minnesota has declined by 24 percent since 2003.

Indeed, a long-term look at abortion trends in Minnesota reveals some important lessons about the impact of public policy on the incidence of abortion. On June 16, 1994 a state district court ruled that Minnesota had to publicly fund therapeutic abortions for low income women through Medicaid. This court decision had a substantial impact on the incidence of abortion in Minnesota. There is a very broad body of academic research which shows that public funding for abortions increases abortion rates. Indeed, while nearly every other state saw its abortion numbers decrease during the mid to late 1990s, Minnesota actually saw its abortion rate increase between 1994 and 2000.

However, eventually the tide turned. Minnesota still publicly funds abortions for low-income women through Medicaid. However, in 2003 Governor Tim Pawlenty signed a revamped informed consent law. This law is based on the Pennsylvania law the Supreme Court upheld in its 1992 Planned Parenthood v. Casey decision which gives women the opportunity to view color photos of fetal development before submitting to an abortion. In 2005 Governor Pawlenty included $2.5 million in his budget for pregnancy resource centers. These policy changes likely played a key role in Minnesota’s long term abortion decline.

Overall, it is hard to say what caused a 3 percent decline in abortions in Minnesota in 2012. However a long term view of abortion trends, provides good evidence of both the impact of pro-life laws and the progress that the pro-life movement has made — progress that the mainstream media unfortunately all too often chooses to ignore.

The views expressed here are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent the views of


About Author

MICHAEL J. NEW, Ph.D., is an assistant professor of political science at the University of Michigan – Dearborn. He is also an Adjunct Scholar at the Charlotte Lozier Institute, the Research and Education Arm of the Susan B. Anthony List. A Phi Beta Kappa graduate from Dartmouth College, Dr. New received a master’s degree in statistics and a doctorate in political science from Stanford University in 2002. Before coming to Michigan, Dr. New worked as a postdoctoral researcher at the Harvard-MIT Data Center and later taught at The University of Alabama. Dr. New researches and writes about the social science of pro-life issues. He gives presentations on both the positive impact of pro-laws and the gains in public support for the pro-life position. He is a frequent blogger on National Review Online's "The Corner." Dr. New's study pro-life legislation was recently published by State Politics and Policy Quarterly. Four of his other studies on the effects of pro-life legislation have been published by the Heritage Foundation and another study was published by Family Research Council in 2008.

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